DraftBoardGuru.com  Mock Draft

11th Rated Mock Draft publication over the past five-year period

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DraftBoardGuru.com Projection
Doug Martz, Owner/Draft Analyst

- FINAL UPDATE -
April 24, 2013
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Selection Team Player Position College
1 Kansas City Chiefs Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M

In a year where you simply cannot identify a clear-cut top prospect, it seems a toss-up

between OT's Fisher or Joeckel; being that it's 50-50, let's go with the SEC-proven left tackle.
2 Jacksonville Jaguars Dion Jordan DE/OLB Oregon

Fantastic pass-rusher w/ great versatility should enthuse new coach Gus Bradley. Popular thought

involves the two OT's going off the board 1, 2, but here's believing that the defensive guru in Gus

Bradley means Jordan is a natural fit… if this pick doesn't happen at the #2-slot, we can still match-

up this player w/ this team… just possibly at the #4 or #5 spot w/ Phil/Det coming up for Fisher.
3
Detroit Lions **from Oakland**
Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan

**TRADE** Detroit/Oakland swap -- Lions get:  #3/#100(4th); Raiders get: #5/#36(2nd)/#137(5th)

Tackle was already a need when Cherilus left (free agency), and then LT Jeff Backus retired!
4 Philadelphia Eagles Star Lotulelei DT Utah

It's a wide-open and diverse list of prospects the Eagles seem interested in, and QB Smith

is tempting, but in the end Star might be the best overall player in this draft class!
5
Oakland Raiders **from Detroit**
Sharrif Floyd DT Florida

Al Davis is gone (but never forgotten in comment sections), and we can start to  make

meaningful transactions/common-sense projections - at least for now. Smart trade-down!
6 Cleveland Browns Barkevious Mingo OLB LSU

If Mingo weren't on the board, the Browns would easily let any of a handful of teams move

up to get OT Johnson, but Mingo is a special player that will make the 3-4 defense buzz!
7 Arizona Cardinals Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma

Like the Browns, the Cardinals could trade-down, but that's more under the mind-set that

L.J. isn't on the board; in this scenario they get one of their most highly coveted prospects.
8 Buffalo Bills Tavon Austin WR West Virginia

It's so tempting to put QB Geno Smith here, but in the end we just have to remember how

poor this QB class really is; I expect just one QB to go in Rd. 1 and it's possibe that doesn't

happen until the tail-end of the round… here they get an awesome spark-plug w/ Austin!
9 New York Jets Ezekiel Ansah DE BYU

It feels goofy to not gravitate towards a pass rusher or dynamic defender of some sort when

considering the Rex Ryan… Ansah's size and versatility has Rex Ryan written all over him.
10 Tennessee Titans Chance Warmack OG Alabama

Tremendously un-sexy pick, yet a guy that the former OL and current HC has to love!
11 San Diego Chargers Jonathan Cooper OG North Carolina

If Mingo were available (assuming all the OT's are gone), he would be the first choice, but

interior offenisve line help is as much a need as any and Cooper represents great value.
12 Miami Dolphins Dee Milliner CB Alabama

After signing 3 wideouts plus a TE in free agency, including super speedy Mike Wallace, it

appears the team will go a different direction than receiver w/ this selection… rumors have

circulated that Rhodes is the guy they want, but did they even think Milliner would be here?
13
New York Jets (from T.B.)
D.J. Hayden CB Houston

With the extra selection achieved from the deal for Revis, the Jets will hang around and see

what's available…After going w/ a pass-rusher first, I can see Hayden here or in a trade-down.
14 Carolina Panthers Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri

Need meets-up with the reality of the draft board here, as beefy Richardson = a great fit.

With massive size (6'4"/ 300) and incredible motor, Richardson padded his stats in 2012 w/

75 tackles (10.5 for loss) and graded out particularly well against great SEC competition.
15 New Orleans Saints Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia

With the transition to the 3-4 defense also comes the need for play-making and pass-rush

on the outside. The Saints should go w/ their highest rated defender, in this case Jones.
16 St. Louis Rams Kenny Vaccaro S Texas

If Tavon Austin is not taken earlier (presumably by the Jets), then he completely should be

slotted to this spot.  Here, the Saints tab the top guy on their board and it fits a large need.
17 Pittsburgh Steelers Xavier Rhodes CB Florida State

Of the Steelers top needs (RB, WR, pass-rush, eventual starter at ILB, and O-line depth), the

position of CB is not present. Ike Taylor and Cortez Allen are the starters w/ free agent

signee William Gay as the slot guy. However, this is a franchise that won't pass up a top

10-12 player on their board, much in the mantra of "catching a falling star." The Colbert-

Tomlin regime has rotated back and forth between offense and defense in every single

draft since their marriage (Timmons-D; Mendenhall-O; Hood-D; Pouncey-O; Heyward-D and

OG DeCastro last year)--With the luck of how the first round unfolds, this pick is likely to 

boil down to OLB Jones, Safety Vaccaro, or CB Rhodes. The team likes to draft juniors

(check) and players that aren't of significant age (Rhodes is 22 / will turn 23 this summer).

Xavier was also a visitor at the Steeler Facility on April 9th and will be an easy pick if he 

remains on the draftboard at pick 17. Tampa trading for Revis increases the likelihood

that Rhodes could fall a little further back; although Miami could very well take him at 12.
18 Dallas Cowboys D.J. Fluker OG/OT Alabama

One can expect the Cowboys to expend multiple selections on fixing their offensive line

during this draft; with Fluker, you get a starting RT with the versatility to play guard as well.
19 N.Y. Giants Bjoern Werner DE Florida State

The Giants are a smart organization that do things "the Giants way." They have need at both

OL and LB, but they just don't tend to do that.  History says… take the value, the DE Werner!
20
St. Louis Rams (fr Wash.)**fr Chi**
Alec Ogletree LB Georgia

**TRADE** The Rams want Ogletree badly; here's believing they'll go get him and make

sure the Bengals don't get him at 21 (nor the Bears here at 20).  Chicago could very well

want to trade down a few slots because they start the draft w/ only 5 selections(1,2,4,5,&6).
21 Cincinnati Bengals Matt Elam S Florida

The Bengals grab a true strong safety to pair-up with free safety Reggie Nelson. It can be 

noted that the team spent time with him at the Florida Pro Day, where Bengals DB Coach

Mark Carrier actually conducted the work-out of Elam. This is value. RB/LB needs come later.
22 Chicago Bears  **from Rams** Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame

The Bears, w/ only 5 selections, now pick up a 6th selection, #113 overall (a 4th rounder) for

moving down 2 slots. With Eifert, they continue to diversify the offense to help out Cutler.
23 Minnesota Vikings Sylvester Williams DT North Carolina

There's three players that can be linked/identified to these two selections that the Vikings have

at # 23 & #25… Williams, along with WR Patterson and ILB Te'o.  Williams is of the highest

draftboard value and stands the greatest risk of going off the board at 24, so go there first.
24
Phil. Eagles **from Indy**
Geno Smith QB West Virginia

**TRADE** The Eagles slot Geno as their franchise QB and will look like brilliant for passing

at #4 and moving back into the first round to nab him at just th right time - the key is to know

when to move! Deal details w/ the Colts: [#24/#121(4th) to Phil; #35(2nd)/#67(3rd) to Ind.
25
Minnesota Vikings (from Sea.)
Manti Te'o ILB Notre Dame

Vikes are back up & pick another ripe fruit from their small wish-list, fortifying the defense.
26 Green Bay Packers Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennessee

The Pack get tremendous value, yet a semi-unknown commodity because Patterson only had

1 year of big-school statistics to demonstrate--not an immediate need or popularly thought-

of prospect that matches w/ G.B., but consider this a surprise "value" pick for Aaron Rodgers.
27 Houston Texans DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson

Mission: Alleviate Andre Johnson double-teams and watch the offensive fireworks explode!
28 Denver Broncos Datone Jones DE UCLA

Fall-out from the Dumervil debacle might lead the Broncos to move forward w/ a DE here.
29
Cincinnati Bengals **from N.E.**
Eddie Lacy RB Alabama

**TRADE** Alas, it's time for New England's pick….. err, umm, TRADE in the first round. 

Trader-Bill, always the pick accumulator negotiates a deal w/ the Bengals, as Cincy doubles-

down on 1st Rd. talent by going after the falling RB Lacy to fill a big need. They could have 

taken the chance to wait for #37 (2nd Rd.), but here's a chance to be proactive and get him.

The Patriots get: #37(2nd)/#118(4th)/#156(5th); whereas the Bengals get a starting RB at 29.
30 Atlanta Falcons Desmond Trufant CB Washington

They must improve their pass defense in every way and put less pressure on the offense to

consistently score in the 30's to win games. While the value at DE/pass-rusher has somewhat

dried up at this point, there are still reach DB gems to be had. Trufant = highest rated left.
31 San Francisco 49ers Eric Reid S LSU

A third and fourth safety are going to come off the draftboard towards the tail-end of round

one, with these last two selections. Even though two have been taken (Vaccaro & Elam), I

believe there are two others (Reid/Cyprien) that are first-round worthy. Even good teams 

such as SF & Balt can upgrade in this area… whom comes off first between Reid/Cyprien?
32 Baltimore Ravens Jonathan Cyprien S Florida International

The world champs have some offensive line deficiency, but that is not where the value is

at this moment, and Ozzie Newsome doesn't make those types of mistakes… nor will he 

force the issue with an ILB choice when the position will still be very ripe in Rd's 2/3. Cyprien, on

the other hand, is a hard-hitting, AFC North type of player than helps fill the DB void of Ed Reed.
                                        
 
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